How Successful will this Russell Wilson Experiment be?

6/16/22

By: Will Horton


In March of this year, the Broncos completed a blockbuster trade to acquire star quarterback Russell Wilson. The blockbuster deal sent Seattle two first-round picks, two second-round picks, a fifth-round pick, tight end Noah Fant, quarterback Drew Lock, and defensive end Shelby Harris. The Broncos received a fourth-round pick along with Wilson. The question is, has this trade put Wilson in a position to succeed?

Roster Changes:

The immediate question for Wilson’s surrounding cast comes in the form of his offensive line. The sheer number of sacks allowed by Seattle became somewhat of a running gag. He has taken 394 sacks in his career with the Seahawks, by far the most of any quarterback in that span. 

The problem here is, Denver’s projected offensive line for the upcoming season is looking scarily similar to the ones that Wilson has had to put up with in Seattle. Both are characterized by a franchise left tackle (Duane Brown in Seattle and Garett Bolles in Denver) followed by a group of unproven prospects and “stopgap”, replacement level veterans. Denver certainly has more upside along the line in terms of investment, drafting Quinn Meinerz last year with hopes that he could eventually develop into a physical “mauler” in the run game. However, his lack of polish in pass protection along with the physical limitations of the right side of that line leave fans asking similar questions about Russell Wilson’s time in the pocket in 2022.

In terms of his weapons, Wilson has a much deeper cast of skill players this time around. Having Sutton, Jeudy, Tim Patrick, and even K.J. Hamler on the boundary will allow newly hired head coach Nathaniel Hackett to modernize his offense, inevitably featuring a heavy dose of 11 personnel, shotgun formations. (3 WR 1 HB 1 TE) WIth that being said, those names don’t jump off the page with the same level of star power as a true “X” receiver like D.K. Metcalf (at least not yet).



Hyoung Chang/Denver Post/Getty Images

AP Photo/David Zubowski

Scheme Fit


Hackett will undoubtedly make use of similar concepts from his days in Green Bay, which amounts to a west coast, horizontally-based offense. Up front, most agree that the Broncos will employ a zone blocking scheme in the run game, opening up natural gaps laterally for the running back to sort through, rather than assigning men to gaps and forcing the back to hit a particular hole. Wilson will be familiar with all of this right from the jump as his most recent system revolved around wide zone runs coupled with play-action, bootleg style concepts off of that look.

The one schematic question centers around the balance Hackett is able to strike with route distribution. Wilson made a living off of long-developing post and corner routes in the past, enabling him to lob the ball in a bucket right over the defender’s outstretched hand. Especially now that he’s getting older, his deep accuracy is his greatest strength. Knowing that, Hackett will have to mix in some vertical stretches into the west coast offense in order to maximize his signal caller in 2022. 



The Verdict


Make no mistake, Russell Wilson is suiting up with a significantly better surrounding cast, particularly on defense, for this upcoming year. The 2022 Broncos will be light years better than the 2021 Seahawks, but that is a fairly low measuring stick. The real challenge will be overcoming the ridiculous AFC West, and AFC in general. Having to play six games against Mahomes, Herbert, and Carr makes clinching a postseason berth a difficult task, not to mention having to potentially face other star quarterbacks like Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow and Deshaun Watson even if they do make it to the dance. While this roster and scheme fit is good for Wilson overall, I’m not sure this line will do enough to mask Wilson’s tendencies to take early down sacks and overextend plays, which could end up being his downfall in a brutal division and conference.